Posted this in the Turner thread, but will add here too:
I compiled the career OBP/SLG/OPS by platoon split for our top batters to think through how the team COULD set up optimal lineups once Harper is back.
I used career just to have a larger sample size. We all certainly hope that Stott will improve on his rookie numbers and that d Marsh might be able to improve upon their career numbers, and I think we all fear that Castellanos won't live up to his career numbers again, but I wanted to be consistent.
And we obviously have SSS issues, particularly for the younger players against lefties, so take all of that in context:
Obviously small sample sizes (especially for Maton), but interesting that Stott, Sosa, and Maton have reverse splits at this point.
Marsh, Bohm, and Schwarber have the biggest platoon splits, at least using OPS.
Given all of that, here is how I might set up the order vs. righties and lefties once Harper is back and DHing. This is certainly NOT a prediction of how the Thompson will set it up.
A few notes:
- We've got a lot more high OBP options vs. lefties, so I'd give Stoff a chance to lead off against righties under the thinking that he's got the potential to be a significantly better table setter against righties than his numbers have shown so far.
- Even though he's a relatively high OBP guy vs. righties, I want Schwarber's .538 slugging in the middle of the lineup against righties.
- Given how poor Bohm is vs. righties and the fact that (so far) Sosa actually hits slightly righties better, I'd do a straight platoon at 3rd with Sosa playing vs. righties. In the end, I don't think he's going to give you more offense against righties but I think it would be close enough that the D makes up for it. (The Phillies will never do this, I understand).
- Since we're able to do it against righties, I tried to split up our lefties and righties in the middle of the lineup to make it harder for opponents to play matchups with their bullpens. Otherwise, I'd flip Schwarber and Hoskins.
- Certainly odd to put Bohm leadoff against lefties, but he's got the same OBP as turner and a lower slugging percentage. You could easily flip them, though.
- Similar, Harper's OBP holds up better against lefties than his slugging does, so I have him in the 2-hole there and Turner in the 3-hole.
- Considering that Schwarber's career OPS vs. lefties is the second lowest of all these players, I'd go with a straight platoon with Vierling in left. (Again, the Phillies will never do this).
- Marsh has really stunk vs. lefties, but I'm still trotting him out there because the other options in the lineup are Schwarber (which would weaken the D in two outfield spot in order to get an 0.685 OPS in the lineup) and Maton (who I don't trust to end up hitting lefties or to handle CF regularly) and I'm hoping that with consistent playing time, he might be able to get his numbers up a little bit against lefties. Plus, this lineup is going to rake against lefties now, so I'll sacrifice the O for the D.
I'm sure that there are a million reasons to not set things up this way, so have at it. It was a fun exercise either way.