Another Inquirer story mentioned Painter and Crawford's projections.
The projection models are promising. Crawford is pegged to bat .286/.337/.390 with seven homers, 29 steals, a 103 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus; 100 is league average), and 2.0 wins above replacement, based on the ZiPS forecasting system. Steamer, another system used by FanGraphs, has Painter for a 4.69 ERA in 133 innings.
Those would be solid numbers for a rookie No. 9 hitter and debutant No. 5 starter, with room to grow.
I would agree that's okay for a #5 starter but w/o Wheeler, Painter has to be the #4 (or Walker does), and of course that's a long drop from where we once imagined he might slot in originally (and as ROTY material). Doesn't sound like Wheeler will be out that long in any case.
And that kind of year by Crawford would be great. If he struggles in CF or the ground ball rate is a big issue, probably not quite that good.