Not to be a Debbie Downer on the odds of Stott signing, as I am actually about 50-50 on that, but to think Boras views this as having very little leverage is a Fool's Argument for sure. Many Phillie phans felt the same thing about JD Drew and who can forget Bill Giles infamous line [made me cringe then and still does] "The kid is not a free agent, we own his rights."
The problem with this line of thinking is that quite often Boras sells his services to potential clients by making them assurances that he intends to keep and it sure seems to me that he and Stott believed was going to be a Top 10 pick, with the corresponding bonus to match. Perhaps this is why he dropped to the Phils in the first place and it sure seems they were surprised he was there at #14.
If Boras made a promise of Top 10 bonus money, he is going to be determined to find a way to make it, and Jim Peyton did suggest was that one of the rumors he was hearing was that Stott's demands were actually more that the Phils allotment + 5% could match.
Maybe its just me, but if an agent STARTS out with a demand that exceeds even your highest possible offer, those negotiations are not starting off well. Look, Boras obviously likes Middleton and negotiates well with him. But this issue has nothing to do with Middleton, its about Boras vs Almaraz and his staff and we simply don't have enough information to judge this effectively.
The reality is that Boras could view the Phils developmental staff just as we do...more misses than hits and it would be wise to remember that Randolph is a Boras client...and we do have enough information to view him as either A] a wasted pick or B] a guy the Phils failed to develop well. If Boras views this as A, the eventual signing of Stott becomes more likely. But if the answer is B, then Stott's signing becomes more problematical.
Given the agent involved, I am not as inclined as Squire and others are to simply say "fine, lets just recoup the pick next year." Because the reality is that the Phils need Boras clients in the future and the JD Drew fiasco pretty much poisoned those waters for about 15+ years. I don't know about you but I, for one, really don't want to revisit the days of avoiding Boras clients for fear that they won't sign. We lost Texiera, among others, because of that silly nonsense.
I want a press conference, with Stott and Boras at the table, waxing poetic about the future of the Phils. Because, as for me, any present that includes Kapler is not one I find very promising. In my view, the Phils need Stott [see Boras included in this] more than he [they] need them.
I want him signed and playing...and hopefully succeeding.