So, we're at the halfway point. 39-42, .481 team. 4th place. Run differential of minus-31 (boosted yet again by a runaway score today) for an XW-L of 37-44 (worst in the division). 15-26 road record also worst in the division, and one of the five worst road records in the NL, setting up a seven-game road trip at Chicago and Boston that could go as badly as the West Coast swing.
They'll have to go 42-39 just to finish .500, 47-34 to get to 86 wins. 50-31 to get to 89. It took 90 to win the NL East in 2018, and 97 in 2019.
Not hard to see why those playoff odds are so low. We need a .481 team to play at a .580-.620 clip the rest of the way. Not only does this team not seem up to it, but 1 or 2 little trade deadline upgrades probably doesn't do it, especialy with the other teams upgrading as well.