No, SF, if the Phils play .500 ball the rest of the season they will finish with 83-84 wins and not 87. The problem is that they have been a less than .500 team for quite a while now and show no signs of improving. As hard as it is to fathom I could easily see this team finishing with a worse record than last year [80-82.]
I do not expect them to win more than 2-3 games on this upcoming 7 game road trip. Arizona has historically been a tough place for the Phillies to win and SF is still playing very well, notwithstanding what happened in Philadelphia. Added to that, Nola will only go once on the trip and in SF, a place he has not pitched well.
Look, this team has been living off of their early success for quite some time now, take away their 5-1 start and they are a .500 club. Arrieta is unlikely to finish the season, I do not believe Pivetta and Eflin will be happy with their moves to the bullpen, regardless of how they do, Franco will be missed in the clubhouse and I believe the team feels the front office should have done more to try and get a playoff berth.
I continue to believe the Phils are poorly, if not terribly, managed. Kapler is a snake oil sailsman, players can tell a phony when they see and hear one and I think they have completely tuned him out. Having a lineup with Quinn pitching and Velasquez in the outfield in a tie game is simply inexcusable, I am frankly amazed at how little this complete mismanagement of assets was discussed, probably because Velasquez did such heroic deeds in the outfield.
And today! Morin is removed a few days ago after 4 pitches and yet is allowed to pitch a second inning today after clearing struggling in his first inning. Even pulling Nicasio on Friday night with two outs and a chance to save the game rankles me and it did when Kapler did it. Nicasio had good stuff and has some experience saving games. By using Alvarez, who failed and having to bring in yet another hurler he used 4 pitchers to get 6 outs. Pathetic mismanagement of assets.
Look, there is so much I can't stand about Kapler's managing, he may be the worst I have seen since Nick Leyva. And there are so many qualified guys out there right now...Showalter, Girardi to name two. And they are more traditional, something I think the Phils need in spades. I understand the analytics aspect and encourage the Phils to continue to use it.
But when it becomes so all consuming and causes players to be viewed as nothing more than chess pieces on a chess board, it becomes counterproductive to the state of a franchise. This organization is a mess and I believe once Kapler gets fired he will never, ever get another managerial job again.
Never. He is that bad.