I don't know if Keuchel gets it or not, but this writer certainly does not get it at all, as he quotes Keuchel's great past seasons. Teams have learned the stupidity of paying for past seasons, especially for a pitcher. Teams now rightly calculate value based upon expected future performance. It is nonsense to think Keuchel's value is being killed by a lost draft pick. If he really were all that, a guy who can laugh off a nearly $18 mill QO, then the loss of a 2nd or 3rd round pick isn't significant, compared to the deal he'll get and the value he'll add. The Phillies happily gave up a two for Harper and a 2 and a 3 last season for Santana and Arrietta. Other teams have happily surrendered picks for FAs they really liked.
The writer would have us believe that Keuchel having the most starts last season is a plus. it isn't. It is a measure of wear on his arm. The last time he pitched 200+ innings in a season, he was injured and his next two seasons were both partial seasons and with results the year after the 232 IP season a huge step down from that great season -- likely meaning he was pitching through injury before being shut down. He seems set up for an off-year in 2019. He is likely holding out for a multi-year deal. I see him as a significant risk. His 2018 numbers are good, but hardly great and significantly off what he has done in the past. Only a foolish team will give him a contract which rewards him for his 2014 and 2015 seasons, expecting that he'll replicate that performance in the future. Odds are strongly that he will not.