Herrera is gone, I'm sticking to that. And the team is better with Segura and Kingery as an extra. But we'll see how 3B and CF play out.
We all know how many question marks there are. Broadly they fall into three categories:
Aging/injured/subpar vets: can Cutch, Didi and Segura repeat past success?
Young vets - Will Hoskins turn it around? how good is Kingery?
Rookies - given the above, can the team weather the struggles of a 25% rookie (for all intents and purposes) starting line-up? Or maybe they won't struggle initially (Hoskins sure didn't. Kingery obviously did).
Honestly, it's a lot to hope for, even if Harper and JT are rocks. Wheeler helps a lot but I don't know that I expect much from Arrieta. 100% health doesn't mean he magically turns back into 2016 Arrieta. Or even 2018 Arrieta (when he was 2.9 WAR and 3.96 ERA was considered a disappointment!)
Today the betting line is:
Braves 90.5
National 89.5
Mets 86.5
Phillies 84.5
As a gambler, super-tempting (and stupid, since I'd still be leading with my fandom). But winning that bet also doesn't mean it's a wild card team.